With less than ten weeks to go before the US midterm elections, all 435 House seats and one-third of the Senate are on the ballot. Against a backdrop of sliding approval ratings, persistent inflation, high interest rates, and foreign policy challenges, the elections are shaping up to be a critical referendum on President Donald Trump’s second term. Ambassador Robert Blake, Senior Managing Director at McLarty Associates, joins BFM’s Morning Brief to analyse the political landscape and what a shifted Congress could mean for global policy.

He discusses how low presidential approval ratings could threaten moderate Republicans in key battlegrounds like Maine, whether the math favors Democrats flipping the House or Senate, and how a divided Congress might impact executive orders, tax policy, and oversight of defense spending. Ambassador Blake also explores how progressive messaging could complicate efforts to win over crucial independent voters in swing states.

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